Despite the increasing uncertainty with regards to the financial hit to industries, Russell Group have modelled the exposure for companies and countries. In the first of these articles, we take a look at the impact on shipping.
How Connected Risks threaten the Insurance Markets
27 June 2017 | Blog Post
Our world is more connected than at any point in history. With a simple tap of the keyboard, multi-million-dollar deals are struck across continents and consumers can order anything from the world to their doorstep. We have never had it so good.
Companies with operations spread out across the world can situate their production or headquarters in areas of low-tax or low labour costs. The likes of Exxon-Mobil, Walmart and Apple straddle the planet in a manner befitting colonial European empires with the sun never setting on the ring of the cash register or the spinning cogs of the production line.
Yet, as history has proven, no empire is everlasting, especially as it overreaches itself - resulting in decay and ruin. In this new era, organisations are vulnerable to the whims and rhythms of the connected world. A world connected by hazards or ‘risk drivers’ such as political volatility, cyber hacking or supply chain exposures caused by terrorism, piracy, inadequate safety controls and other critical factors can create a rapid path to ruin.
This time, it is not the barbarians at the gate but a new business risk, what we call ‘Connected Risk’.
Connected Risk is the systemic exposure of commercial organisations, their partners, suppliers and clients to cumulative and cascading financial, operational and reputational vulnerabilities. It is caused by an inherent weakness in the interconnected architecture of today’s business-to-business relationships. These are increasingly digital and allow a single negative event to exponentially spread disruption, paralysis and wreak severe economic damage both within and between organisations.
The key drivers for Connected Risk are the ways in which political, environmental, supply chain, cyber and credit risks combine to cause financial, operational and reputational loss.
In an increasingly connected world, corporates and their networks need to prepare for more unpredictable ‘black swan’ events which are caused when a local event produces a ‘butterfly effect’ and unleashes a cascade of further events through the network, impacting numerous corporates along the way.
This exposes a raw nerve in corporates’ sophisticated global supply chains and/or delivery systems as they are now vulnerable to extreme events and systemic risk.
The new risk landscape ushered in by Connected Risk is one riddled with greater event complexity and less risk foresight. Corporates need to recognise that new and established business relationships - whether they be with suppliers, manufacturers, traders, financiers or consumers - are the entry point for Connected Risk.
Today’s organisations are becoming increasingly interconnected and embedded in the same network. Thus, systemic risk poses a real threat. The failure of a single firm from a connected risk can have a disproportionate effect on both the organisations connected to it and the entire industry. It’s a real concern for CEOs who are aware of the urgency of Connected Risk, yet are unsure how to proceed.
The solution for corporate risk managers navigating the rough seas of Connected Risk is to have an integrated risk management framework. A framework that quantifies bottom-up exposure, manage risks and in so doing deliver superior return on equity. Combining the power of data analytics with the latest integrated risk modelling led by companies such as Russell Group, it is now possible to price and value our hitherto unknown connected risk exposures much more accurately.
On 18th July, we will be hosting an event on the impact of Connected Risks on the Insurance Markets at the Old Library at Lloyd's. Speakers include Adriano Bastiani of Munich Re, Jamie Bouloux of EmergIn Risk and Suki Basi of Russell Group. Check out the details here.